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Politics

Mark Menzies scandal: How Tory sleaze may shape next UK general election as Sunak’s party plummets

Two-thirds of young people have no trust in politics. As Mark Menzies loses the whip, are constant Tory scandals harming more than just the Conservative Party?

Conservative majorities aren’t what they once were. The latest Tory to lose the whip is Fylde MP Mark Menzies, who asked his staff  to send him thousands so he could pay “bad people” who had locked him up – adding it was a matter of “life and death”, as reported by the Times. It means the party that won the 2019 election with 365 seats now has just 346 MPs, taking their working majority down to 49 seats.

How these seats were lost tells its own story. Peter Bone was ejected from the party after a report concluded he had bullied and committed sexual misconduct against a member of staff. Lee Anderson was stripped of the whip after saying Islamists have “got control” of Sadiq Khan. Scott Benton’s downfall came when he offered to lobby ministers on behalf of the gambling industry.

With local elections looming – and a long, undeclared general election campaign being waged, the British public is fast losing faith in politics as a whole and politicians in particular, polling shows. 

Rishi Sunak’s promised a government with “integrity, professionalism and accountability at every level”. But sleaze is nothing new. The cigarette butt of John Major’s government was consumed by scandal. The consequences, however, are a recent development, said Philip Cowley, professor of politics at Queen Mary University of London.

This is in part due to reforms introduced by the Cameron-Clegg coalition, which means MPs mired in scandal are more likely to face a recall petition, Cowley said.

“I don’t believe that MPs today are so much more badly behaved than in the past, so something else is going on. My view is that there’s a couple of things happening. The first is much greater visibility, bringing to light a number of incidents that would have been brushed over or ignored previously,” said Cowley.

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“Suspension or removal of the whip used to be very much a nuclear option; it’s now used very frequently, almost as an HR device. There are now more MPs without the whip than there are Lib Dems.”

Polling figures released by Ipsos show Sunak’s -59 approval ratings are the lowest ever for a prime minister. The only party leader to poll worse was Jeremy Corbyn in 2019, at -60. Statistics released by the Office for National Statistics in March show just 12% of Brits trust political parties, down from 20% in 2022.

Conservatives running to be regional mayors have begun to distance themselves from the party. West Midlands mayor Andy Street urged voters to “distinguish between party and me”, while East Midlands candidate Ben Bradley has distanced himself from the party in the face of “clearly not a brilliant national picture”.

Disillusionment with politics is also acute among younger voters. Just three in ten young people (32%) say they have lots or some faith in politicians to sort out major social political problems, according to polling from Savanta, while 65% of young people aged 18-25 say they have no trust in UK politics.

“Part of the reason for this will likely be the seemingly never-ending carousel of misbehaving MPs in the headlines, which absolutely erodes trust in politicians among the public,” Emma Levin, associate director at Savanta told the Big Issue.

“But our research also implies a more fundamental problem – a sense among the public that democracy isn’t a mechanism for change, that it just simply doesn’t deliver anymore in making their lives better. Sleaze isn’t a new phenomenon for a government’s final days, but the sense of hopelessness among the wider population is.”

Damage is being wrought to politics as a whole, and solutions are needed, said Tom Brake, a former Liberal Democrat MP who is now the director of Unlock Democracy.

“To ensure that, in the words of the PM, ministers and MPs govern with integrity, professionalism and accountability we need an ethics commission, with real teeth, that will enforce rigorous standards and begin the process of restoring trust in elected officials,” Brake told the Big Issue.

Will Labour be able to capitalise? Keir Starmer is among those who aren’t so sure, telling an audience in London this week the government has “beaten the hope out of people”. Even if, as polling suggests, Starmer becomes prime minister, Cowley warned the road may not be paved with gold.

“I don’t think this has a huge short term consequence – but more interesting is to think about what might happen in the future. Imagine, for example, we get a Labour government,” said Cowley. 

“Maybe they will all be saints, so there will be no need to deal with scandals. Maybe they will be so popular that they don’t lose by-elections. Or maybe not…”

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